LIMIT HOLDEM HAND:
Say you raise in middle position with Js9s. The SB and BB call.
Flop comes 5d3s3d
Obviously misses you.
Checked to you, and you bet.
Both call.
Turn comes 8h.
Checked to you again.
You decide to bluff at it again, and fold to a raise.
Both call.
River is 2h.
Checked to you again.
Is this a good spot to 3-barrel bluff?
Depending on the opponents, the answer is often YES.
Here's why:
Blinds like to check-call with low cards that don't hit them, especially at middle and higher limit games. (Watch out for low limit games, where players will often check-call here if they flopped the 5!)
Also note the flush draw on the flop that missed.
It is very possible that both players missed completely, but there is a good chance you don't have the best hand. There is a decent chance that someone holds a Q or K in their hand, or even something like JT or a low ace. If you check the river, you might be shown down something like QT, and you will be highly annoyed that you didn't bet once more.
Nobody has indicated strength by the betting, but you already have. Q or K high is very unlikely to call a bet here, and weak ace-highs will also frequently fold. You probably won't win a showdown if everyone missed. Fire that extra bet and see if you can take the pot. It will be worth it in the long-run.
Here are times when you SHOULDN'T fire the extra bet in this situation:
- If you have a calling station in one of the blinds who doesn't aggressively play his pairs
- If you have something like QK or a trash ace instead of a hand like J9. The more non-pair hands you can't beat, the better to bluff here. Otherwise, just take the free showdown and hope for the best. You might win anyway.
- If the river makes it too likely that someone hit. You are against two opponents, both of whom called the flop and turn. If the river is something that likely made one of their hands worth calling (or check-raising), give up on it.