LATEST:

NWP

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

2 Pages V   1 2 >  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> 

NFL Week 17, Please, Dallas & SD, don't shit the bed

DanDruff
post Dec 28 2008, 05:26 AM
Post #1


NWP Bracelet Winner
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Root Admin
Posts: 14,578
Joined: 17-June 04
From: Las Vegas
Member No.: 44



Placed the following 6-point, 3-team teasers on Christmas:

Dallas +7.5
SD -2
Chicago +9 (was +9 -130 at the time)

Dallas +7.5
SD -2
Miami +9 (was +9 -130 at the time, and had already moved down a half point on other books)

Dalas +7.5
SD -2
KC +9 (was +9 -125 at the time, and had already moved down a half point on other books)

Placed the following additional today:

Dallas +7.5
SD -2
New Orleans +7.5

KC has since moved, so I know I made the right call on that one (at least in theory). Miami and Chicago have actually gone back the other way a bit.

If Dallas or SD loses, I will take an aggravating end-of-the-year bath.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ship
post Dec 28 2008, 02:30 PM
Post #2


NWP Semi-Pro
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Members
Posts: 18,647
Joined: 20-July 06
From: Seattle
Member No.: 3,234



DRUFF IS GOD


--------------------
@SHIPdaCHIPS
QUOTE(DanDruff @ Jan 20 2008, 11:14 PM) *
There has always been some weird sexual tension between phantom and Martha.
Micon is lucky that there's a big ocean between you two.

I'm not sure which indignity is worse:
- Leaving your wife, shacking up with your former neighbor, and getting cheated on with a guy from your own poker forum, or...
- Getting ripped off for $12,000 by a guy with neck tattoos

Either way, Micon needs to be thankful that phantom isn't visiting his girl's land down under.

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
easternmh
post Dec 28 2008, 02:33 PM
Post #3


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon



Group: Members
Posts: 2,812
Joined: 3-May 05
Member No.: 730



Romo looks good
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
The_Standard
post Dec 28 2008, 02:34 PM
Post #4


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon



Group: Members
Posts: 2,125
Joined: 11-February 08
From: All Over
Member No.: 8,168



QUOTE(easternmh @ Dec 28 2008, 04:33 PM) *
Romo looks good

lmao.jpg


--------------------
Fuck
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ship
post Dec 28 2008, 03:05 PM
Post #5


NWP Semi-Pro
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Members
Posts: 18,647
Joined: 20-July 06
From: Seattle
Member No.: 3,234



ship druff NWP's all time losingest sports bettor imo.


--------------------
@SHIPdaCHIPS
QUOTE(DanDruff @ Jan 20 2008, 11:14 PM) *
There has always been some weird sexual tension between phantom and Martha.
Micon is lucky that there's a big ocean between you two.

I'm not sure which indignity is worse:
- Leaving your wife, shacking up with your former neighbor, and getting cheated on with a guy from your own poker forum, or...
- Getting ripped off for $12,000 by a guy with neck tattoos

Either way, Micon needs to be thankful that phantom isn't visiting his girl's land down under.

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Mary_Hinge
post Dec 28 2008, 03:13 PM
Post #6


NWP Uber-Fish
Group Icon



Group: NWP Eurodonk
Posts: 537
Joined: 7-November 07
Member No.: 6,447



Is this the biggest bed full of shit of all time please Druff ?

donkdown.jpg
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
easternmh
post Dec 28 2008, 03:13 PM
Post #7


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon



Group: Members
Posts: 2,812
Joined: 3-May 05
Member No.: 730



Druff, what was your theory behind teasing dallas? The over/under was relatively high and they were on the road.......To my knowledge thats not a wonger, just wondering your thoughts behind it
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ship
post Dec 28 2008, 03:18 PM
Post #8


NWP Semi-Pro
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Members
Posts: 18,647
Joined: 20-July 06
From: Seattle
Member No.: 3,234



I was gonna make a dupe called Druffs_Bookie, then type "WAS AN EASY MARK. WAS FUN. SFO.", but then i remembered that accounts gotta be validated now before they can post.


--------------------
@SHIPdaCHIPS
QUOTE(DanDruff @ Jan 20 2008, 11:14 PM) *
There has always been some weird sexual tension between phantom and Martha.
Micon is lucky that there's a big ocean between you two.

I'm not sure which indignity is worse:
- Leaving your wife, shacking up with your former neighbor, and getting cheated on with a guy from your own poker forum, or...
- Getting ripped off for $12,000 by a guy with neck tattoos

Either way, Micon needs to be thankful that phantom isn't visiting his girl's land down under.

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Chinamaniac
post Dec 28 2008, 03:43 PM
Post #9


NWP Maniac
Group Icon

Poker Blog

Group: NWP Secret / $ Trade Forum
Posts: 10,439
Joined: 27-December 05
Member No.: 2,134



Biggest Problem I have with these plays isnt because its dallas. It's cause its a road team and they are in 4 or 5 different teases. Meh only money. Druff has plenty
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Mary_Hinge
post Dec 28 2008, 04:24 PM
Post #10


NWP Uber-Fish
Group Icon



Group: NWP Eurodonk
Posts: 537
Joined: 7-November 07
Member No.: 6,447



Was gonna complete my Vikings,Patriots treble with The Bengals.

Read a few message boards etc and changed the fuckers to Tampa Bucs. What a fucking shower of shite they have become and what a fuckin idiot I am for changing my bet.

Dolphins/Eagles has me a few $$$$ in profit which I think I will play up on Chargers minus a few points or else HT/FT.

Anyone have any other strong fancies for that game ?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
dual
post Dec 28 2008, 08:11 PM
Post #11


NWP Scammer
Group Icon

Poker Blog

Group: NWP Scammer
Posts: 7,074
Joined: 3-July 06
From: eat my pole
Member No.: 3,164



bengals were a horrible teaser candidate. they werent even a candidate. dont be results oriented as it is -ev.


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
DanDruff
post Dec 29 2008, 12:21 AM
Post #12


NWP Bracelet Winner
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Root Admin
Posts: 14,578
Joined: 17-June 04
From: Las Vegas
Member No.: 44



I was seduced by the +7.5. I believe it is still considered a Wong teaser, even being on the road and with a high total, right? I was never that comfortable with it, so I should have at least reduced its relevance to the day's overall success.

Everything else but KC won, and that lost by a single point.

Sadly, "almost" doesn't cut it, and I bricked all 4 bets.

I also had a 10-pointer going, round-robining Tampa (after the line moved), Baltimore, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh. Sadly, Tampa shit the bed and ruined 3 of the 4 there.

That means I lost 7 of 8 teaser bets today, to be my worst sports day of all time.

g
a
y
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Chinamaniac
post Dec 29 2008, 12:55 AM
Post #13


NWP Maniac
Group Icon

Poker Blog

Group: NWP Secret / $ Trade Forum
Posts: 10,439
Joined: 27-December 05
Member No.: 2,134



QUOTE(DanDruff @ Dec 29 2008, 03:21 AM) *
I was seduced by the +7.5. I believe it is still considered a Wong teaser, even being on the road and with a high total, right? I was never that comfortable with it, so I should have at least reduced its relevance to the day's overall success.

Everything else but KC won, and that lost by a single point.

Sadly, "almost" doesn't cut it, and I bricked all 4 bets.

I also had a 10-pointer going, round-robining Tampa (after the line moved), Baltimore, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh. Sadly, Tampa shit the bed and ruined 3 of the 4 there.

That means I lost 7 of 8 teaser bets today, to be my worst sports day of all time.

g
a
y

this one reason why i rarely tease games. I get frustrated when 3 of 4 cover outright like you had here then one game fucks it up.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
easternmh
post Dec 29 2008, 06:54 AM
Post #14


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon



Group: Members
Posts: 2,812
Joined: 3-May 05
Member No.: 730



QUOTE(DanDruff @ Dec 29 2008, 08:21 AM) *
I was seduced by the +7.5. I believe it is still considered a Wong teaser, even being on the road and with a high total, right? I was never that comfortable with it, so I should have at least reduced its relevance to the day's overall success.

Everything else but KC won, and that lost by a single point.

Sadly, "almost" doesn't cut it, and I bricked all 4 bets.

I also had a 10-pointer going, round-robining Tampa (after the line moved), Baltimore, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh. Sadly, Tampa shit the bed and ruined 3 of the 4 there.

That means I lost 7 of 8 teaser bets today, to be my worst sports day of all time.

g
a
y



I believe you want a LOW total........Therefore linesmaker are not expecting a blow out
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ShizzMoney
post Dec 29 2008, 01:40 PM
Post #15


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Members
Posts: 2,339
Joined: 16-August 06
From: Boston, MA
Member No.: 3,385



Druff, rule # 1 when betting: If you can't trust the QB, you can't put money on his team, esp on the road vs a division opponent.

Romo is 5-9 in December, with only 2 wins over +.500 opponents in that span.

Right on with SD though. I teased Denver to +14 and really thought they would put up a better fight than they did.


--------------------
Mike Tyson: I sacrifice so much in my life, can I at least get laid, nah'mean? I've been robbed of most of my money, can I at least get a blowjob?

Twitter name: Seanismoney
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
dual
post Dec 29 2008, 03:06 PM
Post #16


NWP Scammer
Group Icon

Poker Blog

Group: NWP Scammer
Posts: 7,074
Joined: 3-July 06
From: eat my pole
Member No.: 3,164



easternmh knows his teaser stuff, you want the lowest totals possible for teasers druff not the highest

you want to generally avoid teasing road teams as well, but if you have to, tease the ones that have low totals for the game

i got screwed on the teasers yesterday too, watched the 2nd half of KC.cinci live, so brutal

2 pt conversion short dumpoff pass to a wide tony g, out of nowhere the linebacker batted it down, id idnt see him at all and obv neither did the kid qb


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
easternmh
post Dec 29 2008, 03:31 PM
Post #17


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon



Group: Members
Posts: 2,812
Joined: 3-May 05
Member No.: 730



QUOTE(dual @ Dec 29 2008, 11:06 PM) *
easternmh knows his teaser stuff, you want the lowest totals possible for teasers druff not the highest

you want to generally avoid teasing road teams as well, but if you have to, tease the ones that have low totals for the game

i got screwed on the teasers yesterday too, watched the 2nd half of KC.cinci live, so brutal

2 pt conversion short dumpoff pass to a wide tony g, out of nowhere the linebacker batted it down, id idnt see him at all and obv neither did the kid qb



Yeah that was a pretty brutal game, KC shoulda won that game w/TJ and Ocho out
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ShizzMoney
post Dec 29 2008, 10:18 PM
Post #18


NWP Pirahna
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Members
Posts: 2,339
Joined: 16-August 06
From: Boston, MA
Member No.: 3,385



QUOTE
i got screwed on the teasers yesterday too, watched the 2nd half of KC.cinci live, so brutal


Cincy made me alot of money the last three weeks.

I actually think they arn't that bad of a team considering the injuries they had, although had Peter King pointed out, their schedule may of helped that mirage (WAS, @ CLE, KC). BUT C.Henry is back to 2005 form (as long as he stays away from the henny and the 15 yr old pussy) and the defense was in the top 6 during the second half of the year in red zone eff, yds allowed, and TO.

The Carson Palmer elbow-gate is a concern thio, Fitzpatrick is a decent backup who is good on the clipboard but not a Cassel-esque starter type . I don't understand why he and the team wavered on surgery back in Oct (although he is a big fan of Dice-K's throwing exercises, and both are very stubborn. Dice-K mentioned that this was the first year in his whole career that the team, not him, dictated his off day arm workouts).


--------------------
Mike Tyson: I sacrifice so much in my life, can I at least get laid, nah'mean? I've been robbed of most of my money, can I at least get a blowjob?

Twitter name: Seanismoney
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
DanDruff
post Dec 31 2008, 08:31 AM
Post #19


NWP Bracelet Winner
Group Icon

Poker Blog
Poker Hands
Group: Root Admin
Posts: 14,578
Joined: 17-June 04
From: Las Vegas
Member No.: 44



I agree that Cincinnati came on strong at the end of the season and looked good. I hated going against them.

I was never arguing for wanting a high total, BTW. I know that a low total is better for teasers. I was stating that, despite the total being high and it being a road game, it was still a road underdog of +1.5, which falls in the Wong teaser parameters.

Just because Dallas shit the bed big time doesn't change that.

It was also frustrating watching Dallas fall, after sweating out close ones with a few of the others.

FYI, if you are going to avoid road teasers completely, you are going to have a hard time finding 3 teasable games, especially this season which saw so many +3/-3 lines.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
dual
post Dec 31 2008, 02:27 PM
Post #20


NWP Scammer
Group Icon

Poker Blog

Group: NWP Scammer
Posts: 7,074
Joined: 3-July 06
From: eat my pole
Member No.: 3,164



QUOTE(DanDruff @ Dec 31 2008, 12:31 PM) *
I was never arguing for wanting a high total, BTW. I know that a low total is better for teasers. I was stating that, despite the total being high and it being a road game, it was still a road underdog of +1.5, which falls in the Wong teaser parameters.

Just because Dallas shit the bed big time doesn't change that.


Druff, you are wrong. Ask Reggiman. He will confirm that you are wrong. Then ask icfishies.

Road teams are a fucking NO NO. Period. If you absolutely HAVE to have another team for a teaser leg, use a road team with a total around 40 or less.

Really restraining myself here, but when I hear you talk about what "falls into the Wong Teaser parameters" I have to laugh because you obviously have no idea what you are talking about. Seriously. Just stop. Don't make me bump all the horrible, godawful, nowhere near "wong teaser" bets that you posted this season. Jesus in the manager knows there are plenty to choose from.

And if this:

"Just because Dallas shit the bed big time doesn't change that"

is your way of accusing me of being a results oriented sportsbettor youre barkin up the wrong fuckin tree brah


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

2 Pages V   1 2 >
Reply to this topicStart new topic
2 User(s) are reading this topic (2 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

Collapse

Micon's Twitter

    follow me on Twitter