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Incredible +EV WSOP prop bet on bodog

ckoch13
post Jun 6 2009, 03:54 PM
Post #1


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Bodog is currently offering the following bet:
2009 WSOP* - Will one of the following celebrities cash in the 2009 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)? All wagers have action.
Don Cheadle
-
Montel Williams
-
Hank Azaria
-
Brad Garrett
-
Norm MacDonald
-
James Woods
-
Jennifer Tilly
-
Shannon Elizabeth
-
Ben Affleck
-
Sully Erna
-
Tobey Maguire
-
Ray Romano
-
Yes
9/2


4.5 to 1 odds on 1 out of 12 people cashing in the main event (some are not terrible either...J Tilly, S Elizabeth, Sully, and Montel was the chip leader for a while). This was going off at 7/1 earlier and i figured they would take this off the board, but they just reduced the odds. IMO this should be at 1/1, considering a few may not play and they are slightly worse than the field maybe 1.5/1....This is a great spot so get it while you still can!
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Linden_A
post Jun 10 2009, 04:46 PM
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QUOTE(ckoch13 @ Jun 7 2009, 10:54 AM) *
Bodog is currently offering the following bet:
2009 WSOP* - Will one of the following celebrities cash in the 2009 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)? All wagers have action.
Don Cheadle
-
Montel Williams
-
Hank Azaria
-
Brad Garrett
-
Norm MacDonald
-
James Woods
-
Jennifer Tilly
-
Shannon Elizabeth
-
Ben Affleck
-
Sully Erna
-
Tobey Maguire
-
Ray Romano
-
Yes
9/2


4.5 to 1 odds on 1 out of 12 people cashing in the main event (some are not terrible either...J Tilly, S Elizabeth, Sully, and Montel was the chip leader for a while). This was going off at 7/1 earlier and i figured they would take this off the board, but they just reduced the odds. IMO this should be at 1/1, considering a few may not play and they are slightly worse than the field maybe 1.5/1....This is a great spot so get it while you still can!


You do realize youre arguing for both sides in your analysis right?
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ckoch13
post Jun 13 2009, 08:06 AM
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I'm saying that the odds they should offer for this bet to make it even are 1/1 or 1.5/1, but since they are offering 4.5/1 it is a great bet for us.
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BigDMcGee
post Jun 13 2009, 09:08 AM
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man, 7 to 1 was a great price.


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(2:21:30 AM) Ripptyde64: OLDMANMCBOBBINGSPERMSAMPLES STFU YOU ARE A NOBODY

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ckoch13
post Jun 16 2009, 07:52 AM
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The bet is now down to 3/1, which I still think is a GREAT bet. Im guessing it will keep dropping, so get your money on it asap.
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easternmh
post Aug 2 2009, 09:32 AM
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did this bet win?
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